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Tools to improve decision making in an imperfect world This publication provides readers with a thorough understanding of Bayesian analysis that is grounded in

Researchers in many fields are increasingly finding the Bayesian approach to statistics to be an attractive one. This book introduces the reader to the use of B

This textbook explains the basic ideas of subjective probability and shows how subjective probabilities must obey the usual rules of probability to ensure coher

Illustrates Bayesian theory and application through a series of exercises in question and answer format.

Almost two hundred and forty years ago, an English clergyman named Thomas Bayes developed a method to calculate the chances of uncertain events. While his metho