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The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy

Download or Read eBook The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy PDF written by Bruno Albuquerque and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-02-02 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 60
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ISBN-10 : 9798400264498
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (98 Downloads)

Book Synopsis The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy by : Bruno Albuquerque

Book excerpt: We study the role of regional housing markets in the transmission of US monetary policy. Using a FAVAR model over 1999q1–2019q4, we find sizeable heterogeneity in the responses of US states to a contractionary monetary policy shock. Part of this regional variation is due to differences in housing supply elasticities, household debt overhang, and housing wealth (volatility). Our analysis indicates that house prices and consumption respond more in supply-inelastic states and in states with large household debt imbalances, where negative housing wealth effects bite more strongly and borrowing constraints become more binding. Moreover, financial stability risks increase sharply in these areas as mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures surge, worsening banks’ balance sheets. Finally, monetary policy may have a stronger effect on housing tenure decisions in supply-inelastic states, where the homeownership rate and price-to-rent ratios decline by more. Our findings stress the importance of regional housing supply conditions in assessing the macrofinancial effects of rising interest rates.


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