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Bayesian Decision Analysis

Download or Read eBook Bayesian Decision Analysis PDF written by Jim Q. Smith and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-09-23 with total page 349 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Bayesian Decision Analysis
Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Total Pages : 349
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781139491112
ISBN-13 : 1139491113
Rating : 4/5 (12 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Bayesian Decision Analysis by : Jim Q. Smith

Book excerpt: Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.


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