Can Government Demand Stimulate Private Investment? Evidence from U.S. Federal Procurement
Author | : Shafik Hebous |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 33 |
Release | : 2016-03-10 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781513578729 |
ISBN-13 | : 1513578723 |
Rating | : 4/5 (29 Downloads) |
Book excerpt: We study the effects of federal purchases on firms’ investment using a novel panel dataset that combines federal procurement contracts in the United States with key financial firm-level information. We find that 1 dollar of federal spending increases firms’ capital investment by 7 to 11 cents. The average effect masks heterogeneity: Effects are stronger for firms that face financing constraints and they are close to 0 for unconstrained firms. In line with the financial accelerator model, our findings indicate that the effect of government purchases works through easing firms’ access to external borrowing. Furthermore, industry-level analysis suggests that that the increase in investment at the firm level translates into an industry-wide effect without crowding-out capital investment of other firms in the same industry.