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House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates

Download or Read eBook House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates PDF written by Daniel Dieckelmann and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates
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Total Pages : 0
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ISBN-10 : 9289959851
ISBN-13 : 9789289959858
Rating : 4/5 (51 Downloads)

Book Synopsis House Prices and Ultra-low Interest Rates by : Daniel Dieckelmann

Book excerpt: The acceleration of house price growth amidst falling interest rates to record-low levels across euro area countries between 2015 and 2021 has sparked renewed interest in the link between the two variables. Asset-pricing theory suggests that real house prices respond to changes in real interest rates in a non-linear fashion. This non-linearity should be especially pronounced at very low real interest rates. Most existing empirical studies estimate models with a constant semi-elasticity, thereby ruling out by design the potential non-linearities between house prices and interest rates. To address this issue, we estimate a panel model for the euro area countries with a constant interest rate elasticity (as opposed to a constant semi-elasticity), which is consistent with asset pricing theory. Our empirical results suggest that, in a low interest rate environment such as the period between 2015 and 2021, non-linearities in the house price response to interest rate changes are important: an increase of real interest rates from ultra-low levels could lead to downward pressure on real house prices three to eight times higher than the literature suggests.


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