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Meltwater Flux and Runoff Modeling in the Abalation Area of Jakobshavn Isbrae, West Greenland

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Meltwater Flux and Runoff Modeling in the Abalation Area of Jakobshavn Isbrae, West Greenland
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:727237525
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Book excerpt: The temporal variability in surface snow and glacier melt flux and runoff were investigated for the ablation area of lakobshavn Isbrae, West Greenland. High-resolution meteorological observations both on and outside the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) were used as model input. Realistic descriptions of snow accumulation, snow and glacier-ice melt, and runoff are essential to understand trends in ice sheet surface properties and processes. SnowModel, a physically based, spatially distributed meteorological and snow-evolution modeling system was used to simulate the temporal variability of lakobshavn Isbrre accumulation and ablation processes for 2000/01-2006/07. Winter snow-depth observations and MODIS satellite-derived summer melt observations were used for model validation of accumulation and ablation. Simulations agreed well with observed values. Simulated annual surface melt varied from as low as 3.83 x 109 m3 (2001/02) to as high as 8.64 x 109 m3 (2004/05). Modeled surface melt occurred at elevations reaching 1,870 m a.s.l. for 2004/05, while the equilibrium line altitude (ELA) fluctuated from 990 to 1,210 m a.s.l. during the simulation period. The SnowModel meltwater retention and refreezing routines considerably reduce the amount of meltwater available as ice sheet runoff; without these routines the lakobshavn surface runoff would be overestimated by an average of 80%. From September/October through May/June no runoff events were simulated. The modeled interannual runoff variability varied from 1.81 x 109 m3 (2001/02) to 5.21 x 109 m3 (2004/05), yielding a cumulative runoff at the Jakobshavn glacier terminus of ≈2.25 m w.eq. to ≈4.5 m w.eq., respectively. The average modeled lakobshavn runoff of ≈3.4 km3 y−1 was merged with previous estimates of Jakobshavn ice discharge to quantify the freshwater flux to Illulissat Icefiord. For both runoff and ice discharge the average trends are similar, indicating increasing (insignificant) influx of freshwater to the Illulissat Icefiord for the period 2000/01-2006/07. This study suggests that surface runoff forms a minor part of the overall Jakobshavn freshwater flux to the fiord: around 7% (≈3.4 km3 y−1) of the average annual freshwater flux of ≈51.0 km3 y−1 originates from the surface runoff.


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