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Prediction Markets

Download or Read eBook Prediction Markets PDF written by Stefan Luckner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-04 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Prediction Markets
Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages : 152
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9783834970855
ISBN-13 : 3834970859
Rating : 4/5 (55 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Prediction Markets by : Stefan Luckner

Book excerpt: Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.


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