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Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability

Download or Read eBook Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability PDF written by Esther Eiling and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability
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Total Pages : 61
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1304490778
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Rating : 4/5 (78 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Sectoral Labor Reallocation and Return Predictability by : Esther Eiling

Book excerpt: Sectoral labor reallocation shocks change the optimal allocation of workers across industries. We find that a proxy for this type of labor market shocks has very strong and robust predictive power for future stock market returns. In predictive regressions, the one-year out-of-sample R2 is as high as 14.88%. We propose a production-based asset pricing model that links the return predictability to time-varying labor adjustment costs. When human capital is tied to the industry, hiring workers from other industries involves more search and training costs. Hence, sectoral reallocation shocks lead to lower returns to hiring and therefore lower future stock returns.


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