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Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties

Download or Read eBook Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties PDF written by Klaus-Peter Hellwig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 35
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781513572680
ISBN-13 : 1513572687
Rating : 4/5 (80 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties by : Klaus-Peter Hellwig

Book excerpt: I use three decades of county-level data to estimate the effects of federal unemployment benefit extensions on economic activity. To overcome the reverse causality coming from the fact that benefit extensions are a function of state unemployment rates, I only use the within-state variation in outcomes to identify treatment effects. Identification rests on a differences-in-differences approach which exploits heterogeneity in county exposure to policy changes. To distinguish demand and supply-side channels, I estimate the model separately for tradable and non-tradable sectors. Finally I use benefit extensions as an instrument to estimate local fiscal multipliers of unemployment benefit transfers. I find (i) that the overall impact of benefit extensions on activity is positive, pointing to strong demand effects; (ii) that, even in tradable sectors, there are no negative supply-side effects from work disincentives; and (iii) a fiscal multiplier estimate of 1.92, similar to estimates in the literature for other types of spending.


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