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Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows

Download or Read eBook Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows PDF written by Sangyup Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-05 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 51
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781484336939
ISBN-13 : 1484336933
Rating : 4/5 (39 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows by : Sangyup Choi

Book excerpt: While global uncertainty—measured by the VIX—has proven to be a robust global “push” factor of international capital flows, there has been no systematic study assessing the role of country-specific uncertainty as a key (pull and push) factor of international capital flows. This paper tries to fill this gap in the literature by examining the effects of country-specific uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows using the confidential Bank for International Settlements Locational Banking Statistics data. The dyadic structure of this data allows to disentangle supply and demand factors and to better identify the effect of uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows. The results of this analysis suggest that: (i) uncertainty is both a push and pull factor that robustly predicts a decrease in both outflows (retrenchment) and inflows (stops); (ii) global banks rebalance their lending towards safer foreign borrowers from local borrowers when facing higher uncertainty; (iii) this rebalancing occurs only towards advanced economies (flight to quality), but not emerging market economies.


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